Every few years the housing market rewrites the rules, and buyers who learned the last set of rules show up unprepared for the new ones. Right now, the rules have changed more than they have at any point in a generation. The buyers who understand that are finding deals. The ones who do not are making expensive mistakes.
The arithmetic here is brutal and worth understanding clearly. A buyer who financed a $400,000 home at three percent in 2021 pays roughly $1,686 per month on principal and interest. That same loan at a seven percent rate costs $2,661. That gap of nearly a thousand dollars a month is why transaction volume has fallen to levels not seen in decades. Volume collapsed. Prices mostly did not.
Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.
Your credit score affects your rate more directly than most buyers realize. The difference between a 680 score and a 760 score can mean a half-point or more in rate. If your score has room to improve, give yourself three to six months to work on it before you begin in earnest.
The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. When the appraisal comes in below contract, the deal does not automatically die, but it does require a decision. Ask your agent whether recent comparable sales support the price you are offering.
A seller with a specific need will sometimes take less money from a buyer who gives them what they actually want. A longer closing window, a shorter inspection period, a larger earnest money deposit, or willingness to do a rent-back period can all tip a deal in your favor without you spending an extra dollar on the purchase price.
For buyers with a real reason to be in a specific place for the foreseeable future, this market is workable, even if it is not cheap or easy. The homes that are priced correctly for current conditions are still moving. They are going to the people who did the homework before they started looking at listings.
Real estate rewards preparation more than it rewards timing. The market does not wait for the ideal moment, and neither should buyers who have done the work. A look at real estate listings and pricing data in your target area costs nothing and tells you a great deal.

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